作者：陵乙成宗 来源：原创 发布日期：08-20
一 | 8月23日，英国媒体发布了一篇文章，里面讲到俄罗斯驻英国大使馆那把坐了七年的椅子，如今空了整整一个月，莫斯科却连个接替的人影都没提。 可真正让伦敦坐不住的，不是大使走人，而是俄罗斯接下来的动作。 至于这把空椅子什么时候能再坐上人，恐怕不取决于俄罗斯也不取决于英国，而是取决于旁边另一位“大佬”还要装看不见多久。 七年老将说走就走 先给不常看国际新闻的朋友捋捋现在的情况，今年俄罗斯驻英国大使安德烈·凯林正式离任回国，这人干了七年多。
二 | 从我的角度出发，那段时间英国、法国、德国代表正好跑去跟俄罗斯副外长拍桌子抗议乌克兰战争，你说这是巧合我是不信。 可英国这边急了，媒体挖到一条内幕消息，国家安全系统内部人士直说，莫斯科这招就是故意打脸，意思翻译过来就是，你们英国在我们眼里已经不重要了。
三 | Federal prosecutors filed new charges Thursday against Sen. Bob Menendez, D-N.J., accusing him of violating a prohibition on members of Congress from acting as an agent of a foreign principal.The superseding indictment said Menendez "made multiple requests for the U.S. Department of Justice to commence an investigation against another person for allegedly failing to register under FARA."Menendez faced a sweeping indictment in late September accusing him and his wife of accepting hundreds of thousands of dollars of bribes in exchange for using the senator's power and influence to seek to protect and enrich the businessman.The superseding indictment includes four new charges and appears to mark the first time a sitting member of Congress has ever been charged with conspiracy for a public official to act as a foreign agent.The indictment alleges Menendez conspired with his wife, Nadine Menendez, and New Jersey businessman Wael Hana to have the senator act as an agent of Egypt.The indictment includes new photos of Menendez, his wife and Hana dining with Egyptian officials that prosecutors said were part of a "corrupt agreement" to provide the senator and his wife with hundreds of thousands of dollars in bribes in exchange for official acts taken to benefit the Egyptians.Once Nadine Menendez informed her friend Hana that she was dating Menendez, prosecutors said the two "arranged a series of meetings and dinners" with Egyptian officials. In exchange for bribe payments, Menendez was meant to help lift a block on U.S. military aide to Egypt, the indictment says."The new allegation that Wael Hana was part of a plot concocted over dinner to enlist Senator Menendez as an agent of the Egyptian Government is as absurd as it is false," Hana's lawyer, Larry Lustberg, said in a statement to ABC News. "As with the other charges in this indictment, Mr. Hana will vigorously defend against this baseless allegation."The new indictment also alleges Nadine Menendez set up an LLC to receive bribe payments, quoting a message from her saying "every time I'm in a middle person for a deal I am asking to get paid and this is my consulting company."As part of the new charges, federal prosecutors sought to seize the senator's home in Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey, the 2019 Mercedes convertible prosecutors said Nadine Menendez bought with bribe money, nearly half a million dollars in cash and multiple gold bars.Reached by phone, the senator's defense attorney, David Kolansky, said he had no immediate comment.The superseding indictment says Menendez "made multiple requests for the U.S. Department of Justice to commence an investigation against another person for allegedly failing to register under FARA," who appears to be former Republican congressman David Rivera from Florida, who Menendez accused of being an agent for Venezuela's Nicolas Maduro.Menendez, as well as his wife, pleaded not guilty to the first set of charges on Sept. 27.Sen. Marco Rubio, the No. 2 member on the Senate Intelligence Committee behind Menendez, told reporters just after the news broke that he had not yet seen the reporting, but called it concerning."Yeah, I mean, who's in favor of that? I mean, of course it's concerning," Rubio said, but added that Menendez has a right to defend himself."I'm hearing it from you for the first time so if he wants to defend his record, he has a right to do so. And in our country, the government is tasked with the job of proving those cases," Rubio told reporters.Menendez has said he will not step down and strongly denounced the charges in a press conference."Everything I've accomplished I've worked for despite the naysayers and everyone who has underestimated me," he said on Sept. 25. "I recognize this will be the biggest fight yet. But as I have stated throughout this whole process, I firmly believe that when all the facts are presented, not only will I be exonerated, but I still will be New Jersey's senior senator."ABC News' Elizabeth Landers contributed to this report.。 以我的感受来说，这话说得够直白，连外交辞令都懒得套了，这在过去几十年的英俄交往里，几乎没见过，那俄罗斯到底为什么翻脸翻得这么彻底？ 我觉得得从最直接的这根导火索说起。 俄罗斯这次没打算忍 就是8月中旬乌克兰用了两家英国公司生产的无人机，对伏尔加格勒州和罗斯托夫州的炼油厂发动了至少三次打击，俄罗斯驻英国使馆当天发了一份声明。 在我看来措辞已经不是在讲道理了，直接说伦敦“故意押注乌克兰危机升级”，还补了一句虚伪地声称要争取和平，声明最后那句警告才是真杀招，英国介入越深付出的代价就越高。 依照我的个人理解，俄罗斯已经把话挑明了，你英国造的武器打我本土，我就让你难受，在此之前，俄罗斯已经放话要扣押英国船只。 从我的角度出发，俄罗斯这套打法是有步骤的，先召回大使把外交关系压到代办级，再用无人机事件升级官方谴责，最后甩出海上登检这种硬茬子手段。 一步接一步，刀刀都往英国肋条上戳，这绝不是临时起意，是憋着劲在找机会下手。 欧盟连声都没敢吭 可问题来了，英国挨了这么多刀欧盟在干嘛，就我个人的观察而言，欧盟外交代表出来说了句话，呼吁“双方避免单方面升级”。 这话说得四平八稳，两边都点了名又两边都没得罪，美国国务院那边干脆表态，支持乌克兰自卫，但问到英国无人机的事直接拒评。 老实讲我的第一感受是，这就是最要命的地方，英国挨打的时候欧盟和美国都在旁边站着，嘴上说兄弟挺住，脚底下纹丝不动。 俄罗斯看准的就是这一点，你不是搞联合制裁吗，你不是说欧洲团结如钢吗，那我偏挑你们中间一个往死里整，看其他人敢不敢往前凑。
四 | 最响亮的表态 这时候再回头看凯林这个人我觉得挺有意思，他在任七年争议从来没断过，这种人走了按理说英俄关系反而该松口气，但莫斯科偏偏不派人来接。 以我的感受来说，你说他是外交官，不如说他是俄罗斯情绪的传声筒，这意思很清楚，我连传声筒都不想给你留了。 我觉得外交降级到这个份上，离正式断交只差一层窗户纸，而英国安全消息人士那句话说到了根子上，俄罗斯就是在告诉全世界，伦敦已经没有任何价值了。
五 | 对此我有一个想法，英国好歹还是被针对的那个，至少在棋盘上算个棋子，欧盟连棋子都没当上，就是个看棋的。 我们把整件事拆开来看，俄罗斯召回大使、乌克兰用英国无人机、俄罗斯警告升级、黑海扣船、欧盟不吭声、美国不站队、英国国内民意松动。 这条链子上每一个环节，在我看来都在告诉欧盟一件事，你们的安全承诺，在俄罗斯眼里就是一张废纸。 从我的角度出发，欧盟这些年一直端着架子，说自己不是美国的附庸，要有独立的外交和安全政策。 可真到了刀架在脖子上的时候，连给英国撑个场面的胆量都没有，俄罗斯这次压根没把欧盟放在眼里，从头到尾瞄准的都是英国，但打狗还得看主人，欧盟连吭都没吭一声。
六 | 我觉得最大的输家从来不是冲在最前头那个，而是旁边那个喊了半天口号、真到动手时发现自己根本没上桌的。 欧盟现在的处境就是后者，戏台子搭好了主角打得火热，它举着票站在台下，发现自己的座位早被人撤了，英国虽然挨了打但至少还站在场子里，欧盟呢连门都没进去。
七 | 以我的认知而言，这场外交冲突走到今天这个地步对谁都没好处，两边把关系搞僵了，生意做不成，老百姓的生活成本只会越来越高。 说到底我觉得没有哪个国家不希望自己越来越强大，也没有哪个普通人愿意看着物价飞涨、航线被封、外交人员来回折腾。 从我个人感受来讲，英俄之间这把空椅子什么时候能再坐上人，恐怕不取决于俄罗斯什么时候消气，也不取决于英国什么时候服软，而是取决于欧洲那帮沉默的大多数什么时候投票。返回，查看更多。
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Published on:07:25:53